Is a Market Correction Coming?

Despite recent volatility, we remain constructive on the economic cycle and confident in our call for investors to double down on diversification this year. And while much of this investment is funded through internal cash flow, mega‑cap technology companies are starting to rely more heavily on debt to finance the rapid expansion as they transition away from historically capital‑light business models. For investors looking to add exposure, a diversified approach across companies and business models may offer a more prudent path, in our view. After years of tech-led dominance, the market is experiencing a meaningful rotation toward traditional “old economy” sectors, a shift that aligns well with the TSX’s heavier exposure to these areas and that has contributed to its recent outperformance. We make no representations or warranties regarding the advisability of investing in any particular securities or utilizing any specific investment strategies. Authors/presenters may own the stocks they discuss.

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These massive investments—primarily in chips, data centers, and AI infrastructure—are supporting revenue growth for other parts of tech, like the semiconductor companies, and contributing positively to the broader economy. However, investing comes with risk as well as reward, and the value of your investments can go down as well as up. The milestone reflects the US retail giant’s booming e-commerce business and investors’ embrace of its AI investments.

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The AI nervousness happens to be overlapping with a similar degree of concern for the U.S. job market. Edward Jones and its independent affiliate in the United States, collectively, serve more than 7 million investors. Edward Jones’ Canadian advisors may only conduct business with residents of the province(s) in which they are registered.

  • As journalists prioritise major events, stock market performance in the news tends to look bad — even over periods where frequent small gains lead to an overall upward trend in the market.
  • Rather than focusing on fear-driven narratives, many investors have emphasized earnings momentum and the staying power of consumer demand.
  • Applying the Dogs of the Dow theory to Australian shares to find potential investments for the year ahead.
  • Politics has also intersected with monetary policy in ways markets watch closely.
  • The restricted model explains about half the total negativity bias in the nightly news.

If you’re ready to proceed, you’ll need:

We analyse all 1,846 live segments aired between 2017 and 2024 and compare the average daily performance of the DAX on days when it was reported to its overall average daily performance. The broadcast typically features a live segment from the Frankfurt Stock Exchange, summarising the day’s most important economic news. However, the average daily performance of all six indices turns from positive to negative when weighted by daily media coverage, as illustrated in Figure 2. The orange line shows the drop in the reported DAX, which is composed of reported daily changes and an assumed change of zero on trading days without coverage. Consider Germany’s DAX stock index as reported on the country’s most-watched nightly news programme. Media consumers should be aware of the big news bias and look beyond the daily news cycle to stay informed.

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What’s driving stock market turbulence? Experts weigh in

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Oracle, for example, is down 52% from its all-time high. If a correction of 10% were to happen, then investors could expect to see a bottom somewhere NetNewsLedger: Dr. Simon Ourian fillers around 6,300. However, the S&P 500 is trading at a historically expensive valuation, which could set the stage for downside in the near term. If we exclude the very brief 20% crash sparked by “Liberation Day” last April, the last proper bear market occurred in 2022, so the current bull run probably still has legs.

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